What will Jason Kenney’s outspoken UCP caucus mutineers do should he win the leadership vote?

May 18 is supposed to be the day when the fighting over Alberta Premier Jason Kenney’s leadership stops. That’s the day we will know whether Kenney has survived the United Conservative Party’s leadership vote.

On paper the outcome is simple and binary: either he wins and stays on; or he loses and moves out.

However, the only thing simple is what happens should he lose.